Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.132586 0.142027 0.151898 0.163004 0.175174 0.188129 0.202991
2025-09-14 0.111676 0.125287 0.140389 0.158477 0.179667 0.203848 0.233731
2025-09-21 0.096363 0.111832 0.129770 0.152300 0.180104 0.213649 0.257724
2025-09-28 0.086329 0.102907 0.122822 0.148818 0.182318 0.224688 0.283405
2025-10-05 0.081568 0.099596 0.121955 0.152193 0.192767 0.246446 0.324799
2025-10-12 0.077273 0.096308 0.120573 0.154421 0.201497 0.266359 0.365682
2025-10-19 0.072583 0.092031 0.117400 0.153737 0.205863 0.280293 0.399262
2025-10-26 0.068690 0.088453 0.114779 0.153408 0.210437 0.294646 0.434886
2025-11-02 0.064820 0.084601 0.111437 0.151665 0.212596 0.305337 0.465731
2025-11-09 0.060564 0.079931 0.106607 0.147316 0.210326 0.308751 0.484647
2025-11-16 0.057225 0.076338 0.103053 0.144537 0.210126 0.315254 0.509423
2025-11-23 0.054288 0.073143 0.099858 0.142024 0.210045 0.321780 0.534843
2025-11-30 0.052466 0.071511 0.098930 0.143046 0.215934 0.339257 0.583754
2025-12-07 0.049505 0.068075 0.095141 0.139341 0.213742 0.342593 0.606137
2025-12-14 0.046398 0.064276 0.090603 0.134137 0.208588 0.340122 0.616517
2025-12-21 0.044089 0.061563 0.087581 0.131189 0.207063 0.344076 0.640744
2025-12-28 0.043331 0.061153 0.088085 0.134063 0.215963 0.368403 0.712650
2026-01-04 0.042399 0.060420 0.088026 0.135957 0.223225 0.390341 0.783217
2026-01-11 0.040993 0.058881 0.086591 0.135376 0.225833 0.403248 0.834905
2026-01-18 0.039743 0.057529 0.085382 0.135097 0.228956 0.417500 0.892513
2026-01-25 0.038332 0.055858 0.083565 0.133616 0.229618 0.426603 0.938675
2026-02-01 0.036572 0.053562 0.080611 0.129917 0.225633 0.425238 0.956829
2026-02-08 0.035170 0.051790 0.078457 0.127551 0.224126 0.429181 0.990324